Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.062304 0.073555 0.086150 0.101281 0.118951 0.138921 0.163191
2025-06-01 0.044474 0.058840 0.076725 0.100564 0.131447 0.170038 0.221858
2025-06-08 0.033934 0.049066 0.069523 0.099069 0.140505 0.196390 0.277304
2025-06-15 0.028187 0.043859 0.066532 0.101498 0.153808 0.228846 0.344282
2025-06-22 0.023177 0.038471 0.061952 0.100306 0.160996 0.252833 0.401692
2025-06-29 0.019123 0.033658 0.057209 0.097717 0.165128 0.272117 0.453794
2025-07-06 0.015861 0.029475 0.052655 0.094467 0.167333 0.288121 0.502098
2025-07-13 0.014107 0.027540 0.051467 0.096518 0.178355 0.319415 0.578938
2025-07-20 0.012453 0.025476 0.049679 0.097137 0.186777 0.347039 0.652507
2025-07-27 0.011083 0.023700 0.048113 0.097846 0.195294 0.375590 0.730799
2025-08-03 0.010005 0.022314 0.047056 0.099311 0.205298 0.407799 0.819303
2025-08-10 0.009245 0.021455 0.046895 0.102477 0.218919 0.448185 0.927732
2025-08-17 0.007957 0.019262 0.043729 0.099136 0.219238 0.463299 0.989500
2025-08-24 0.007112 0.017922 0.042180 0.099012 0.226246 0.492625 1.083570
2025-08-31 0.006290 0.016490 0.040207 0.097651 0.230368 0.516409 1.168806
2025-09-07 0.005826 0.015847 0.039925 0.100070 0.243128 0.559812 1.300754
2025-09-14 0.005199 0.014678 0.038225 0.098899 0.247498 0.585397 1.396429
2025-09-21 0.004578 0.013410 0.036088 0.096346 0.248250 0.602909 1.475806
2025-09-28 0.004005 0.012170 0.033827 0.093140 0.246964 0.615530 1.545215
2025-10-05 0.003738 0.011742 0.033610 0.095163 0.258936 0.660603 1.696419
2025-10-12 0.003437 0.011163 0.032899 0.095773 0.267372 0.698078 1.833334
2025-10-19 0.003170 0.010636 0.032255 0.096473 0.276126 0.737284 1.978836
2025-10-26 0.002955 0.010232 0.031896 0.097918 0.287070 0.783194 2.146317